Ukraine could develop the capability to strike Russia with domestically produced ballistic missiles within three to six months, according to former Ukrainian defense minister Mykhailo Fedorov. The potential deployment would mark a significant escalation in Ukraine’s ability to target Russian infrastructure, as ballistic missiles are harder to intercept than the drones and cruise missiles Kyiv has relied on so far.
Key Facts
- Mykhailo Fedorov, former Ukrainian defense minister, estimates Ukraine could deploy domestic ballistic missiles in 3-6 months.
- Ukrainian manufacturer Fire Point conducted a ballistic missile launch test in June.
- Russia claims it shot down 1,478 Ukrainian drones in a single day, the highest count reported.
- A Ukrainian drone strike caused a fire at a Wildberries warehouse near Moscow, killing at least 6 people.
- Ukrainian forces hit a missile fuel production facility in Russia’s Rostov region.
What does this mean for the war?
Ballistic missiles would provide Ukraine with a more formidable long-range strike capability, as they travel faster and are harder to intercept than drones or cruise missiles. Fedorov emphasized the need for Ukraine to outpace Russia technologically, though he acknowledged Moscow is also advancing rapidly. The potential deployment aligns with Ukraine’s broader strategy of developing indigenous weapons systems amid uncertain Western support.
How are both sides escalating attacks?
Ukraine launched one of its largest drone attacks since the war began, targeting Moscow’s vicinity and critical infrastructure. Meanwhile, Russian strikes hit civilian areas in Ukraine, including a steel plant in Kryvyi Rih and a historic book market in Kyiv. President Zelenskyy reported Russia has launched over 1,550 attack drones and 62 missiles against Ukrainian cities in the past week.
What We Know — and What We Don’t
Verified by the source:
- Ukraine is developing domestic ballistic missiles, with a test conducted in June.
- Russia claims record drone interceptions amid heavy Ukrainian attacks.
- Cross-border strikes have caused civilian casualties on both sides.
Still unconfirmed:
- The exact timeline for Ukraine’s ballistic missile deployment.
- Whether Russia’s claimed drone interception numbers are accurate.
- The full extent of damage from recent strikes on both sides.
Why It Matters
The potential introduction of Ukrainian ballistic missiles could significantly alter the dynamics of long-range strikes in the war. As both sides escalate their attacks, civilian infrastructure and populated areas face growing risks. The developments underscore the technological arms race accompanying the ground conflict.
What To Watch
Progress on Ukraine’s ballistic missile program and any official Russian response to the potential new threat. Continued cross-border strikes may test both nations’ air defenses and risk further escalation.