Global oil prices approached their highest levels since the outbreak of US-Israel-Iran hostilities as tensions disrupted a critical Middle Eastern waterway, according to market data and regional analysts. Brent crude futures rose 4.2% to $92.45 per barrel – nearing April’s peak of $93.80 – after Iranian naval forces reportedly restricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
The strategic chokepoint, which normally handles 20% of global oil shipments according to the US Energy Information Administration, saw traffic drop 75% this week based on satellite tracking data reviewed by analysts. ‘This is the most significant disruption since the conflict began,’ said a Dubai-based oil trader speaking anonymously due to company policy. ‘The market is pricing in prolonged supply risks.’
The price surge follows Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps declaring heightened maritime security measures after what they called ‘suspicious naval activity’ near Qeshm Island. US Fifth Fleet officials confirmed increased patrols but denied violating Iranian territorial waters. ‘We’re seeing classic risk premium behavior,’ noted energy analyst Claire Markham at Rystad Energy. ‘Every hour of restricted Hormuz traffic adds about $0.30 to the global benchmark.’
Market observers warn the situation could escalate further if OPEC+ maintains production cuts during the crisis. With US crude inventories already at 5-year lows and summer driving season approaching, analysts say prices may test $100 per barrel if disruptions persist beyond next week.